Post by tensor
actually accidentally gets one right:
Like Other Incumbent Democrats Coast-to-Coast, US Senator Patty Murray In Trouble in Washington State:
(Verbs are just so totally over-rated! Not that a polling firm should take care in the construction of coherent statements…) Even the most liberal of Washington State’s voters simply must agree: Democrats currently holding office in other states will not get re-elected in the Evergreen State this year. Jim Miller is a political genius!!1!
Wait, what? Did I somehow read that verbless “sentence” wrong? Well, that explains Miller’s sudden, unprecedented turn to being right about something. (Yes, the apparent validity of Miller’s statement should have made it immediately suspect. Mea culpa.)
…incumbent Democrat Patty Murray does not poll above 46% against any of 6 possible Republican opponents…
Not one of whom is certain to be her opponent in November, but if we admit to reality, we might as well just ignore Miller right there.
The race has national implications.
Jim feels the need to tell his readers that U.S. Senators serve in national, high-profile offices.
It is unlikely that Republicans will recapture control of the Senate, but, if they do, they will have to win two or three races like this one.
Our federal Senate currently has 57 Democrats, 41 Republicans, and two Independents. There are currently 34 senators standing for re-election this year. A majority (20) of those are Republicans; none are Independents. To take control outright, the Republicans need to hold all of their seats, and win ten of the 14 (!) seats held by Democrats. (In reality, they would need to hold all of their current eats, and win nine seats besides; “Independent” Senator Lieberman loathes the Democratic Party, whose uppity voters dared to dump him years ago.) Consider basket cases like Sen. Bunning (R-Senility), and the GOP’s woes become even more apparent.
In recent years, local journalists have given her an extraordinary degree of protection…
She’s Dave Reichert, only with way more political power and brains!
Those who are not familiar with Senator Murray may want to read this post.
On Miller’s own site — not from any independent source — Senator Murray says something, and Jim Miller groundlessly contradicts her, thus “proving” (in Jim’s “mind”) that she’s wrong. Note that her quote is from her second term, well before her cake-walk to victory, which ended George Nethercutt’s political career. Jim Miller (again shows how a majority of us Washintonians disagree with him) on politics.
…a commercial that showed that Murray simply is not qualified to be a US senator.
(In Jim’s “mind”, American political commercials contain nothing but the honest truth.) Nationally, the GOP standards for “qualified to be a US senator” include wearing a diaper in a whorehouse, banging anonymous guys in an airport bathroom (mmmmm, gotta
love grope those conservative family values!), and having one’s parents pay tens of thousands of dollars in hush money to the relatives of one’s mistress. Locally, they include voluntary membership in the self-described “Corrupt Bastards Club.” (Sadly, Washington’s electorate refused to agree with Sound Politics on that last one. Democracy would work better without so many damned voters!) Since we have no evidence showing Senator Murray ever engaged in any of these activities, we can agree that Republicans consider her unfit for senatorial office.
…against 2004 and 2008 gubernatorial candidate Dino Rossi — Murray loses by 10 points, 52% to 42%.
Mr. Rossi’s proven ability to defeat centrist female Democrats in our state-wide elections speaks for itself.
(Note: the poll explicitly states that Senator Murray and her challenger are the only candidates on this entirely hypothetical ballot. Astute observers — as opposed to Jim Miller — are free to note that 52 + 42 < 100.)